Formula 1 picks, odds, time, grid: 2024 Belgian Grand Prix predictions, F1 best bets from proven model (2024)

Before going on a month-long summer break, Formula 1 will head to Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps for the 2024 Belgian Grand Prix on Sunday. Start time is scheduled for 9 a.m. ET and the race will run 44 laps around the imposing 20-turn, 4.352-mile circuit. Spa is widely considered one of the world's best and most challenging race courses, highlighted by a hairpin first turn more commonly referred to as "La Source." McLaren is coming off a 1-2 finish in Hungary last week and their momentum is palpable, with Lando Norris listed as the +125 favorite (bet $100 to win $125) in the 2024 Belgian Grand Prix odds.

Red Bull Racing's Max Verstappen has won at Spa on his way to a world championship the last three years and the points leader is priced at +200, while Norris' teammate and last week's winner Oscar Piastri is +650. Before analyzing the 2024 Belgian Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Belgian GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory.

The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and then called all seven of the three-time defending champion's wins so far in the 2024 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2024 Belgian Grand Prix projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix predictions

One surprise: The model is high on Yuki Tsunoda of RB Formula One Team, predicting a top-10 finish that would pay out at +300. The 24-year-old is in his fourth season as a Formula 1 driver and is benefiting from his team's strengthening relationship with two-time defending constructors' champion Red Bull Racing.

Tsunoda is a career-best 12th in the standings and his seven points finishes over the first 13 races match a career-high. He's finished top 10 in his last two starts and is now only two points behind Lance Stroll of Aston Martin to move into the top half of the F1 standings. He had his best Belgian Grand Prix finish (10th) last year and has improved in every season of his career at Spa.See more 2024 Belgian Grand Prix picks right here.

How to make 2024 Belgian Grand Prix picks

Instead, the model is targeting a driver going off with double-digit odds to make a surprising surge up the 2024 Belgian GP leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model's F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.

So who wins the Belgian Grand Prix 2024, and which stunning longshot charges towards the front? Check out the latest 2024 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 Belgian Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins last season and all seven of his wins in 2024, and find out.

2024 Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders

See F1 Belgian Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.

Lando Norris +125
Max Verstappen +200
Oscar Piastri +650
Lewis Hamilton +1100
George Russell +1100
Charles Leclerc +3300
Carlos Sainz +3300
Sergio Perez +4000
Fernando Alonso +25000
Lance Stroll +50000
Alexander Albon +50000
Nico Hulkenberg +50000
Daniel Ricciardo +50000
Yuki Tsunoda +50000
Guanyu Zhou +100000
Pierre Gasly +100000
Esteban Ocon +100000
Kevin Magnussen +100000
Valtteri Bottas +100000
Logan Sargeant +150000

Formula 1 picks, odds, time, grid: 2024 Belgian Grand Prix predictions, F1 best bets from proven model (2024)

FAQs

Who wins Grand Prix? ›

Latest. Lewis Hamilton has won the Belgian Grand Prix after team mate George Russell, who had originally come home in first, was disqualified following the race for an underweight car.

How does f1 odds work? ›

When you bet on Formula 1 and the finishing position, you simply choose the driver in the race that you think will end up in position 1-3. Here's an example. Max Verstappen has the odds of 13/1 to win a specific race, while the odds of Verstappen ending up on the podium (1-3) are set at 2/1.

Why was Russell disqualified? ›

George Russell has been disqualified from Belgian GP due to an underweight Mercedes, Lewis Hamilton moves up from second to take the win.

Who won the Belgium Grand Prix in 2024? ›

Winner - Max Verstappen

Verstappen's one-lap pace at Spa-Francorchamps was undeniable - in both dry and wet conditions.

Who is favored to win F1? ›

Three-time world champion Max Verstappen is a favorite to win the Driver's Championship. Verstappen is a favorite in the Netherlands, his home grand prix. After strong summer results, McLaren is the favorite to win the 2024 Constructor's Championship.

What to bet on F1? ›

F1 Props. Another type of F1 bet is prop markets. With props, you are betting on aspects within the race itself. For example, you may bet on things such as the time of the fastest lap, the driver to complete the fastest lap or betting on a driver's exact finishing position.

What is the fastest qualifier bet in F1? ›

The fastest qualifier bet in F1 refers to the driver that sets the fastest official qualifying time in the final qualifying session, regardless of any demotions or penalties applied. This takes place before the Grand Prix starts.

How is the Grand Prix winner decided? ›

The F1 points system explained

Drivers who finish in the top 10 in any given race score points for both themselves and their teams. At the end of the season, the individual and team with the most points are named champions. In the event of a tie, the teams and drivers with the most wins in the season are ranked higher.

Who wins all the F1 races? ›

Lewis Hamilton holds the record for the most race wins in Formula One history, with 105 wins to date. Michael Schumacher, the previous record holder, is second with 91 wins, and Max Verstappen is third with 61 victories. Hamilton also holds the distinction of having the longest time between his first win and his last.

What happens at the end of a Grand Prix? ›

Soon after the winner crosses the finish line, the top three drivers appear on the podium to be presented with their trophies, spray champagne everywhere and take part in some quick interviews. Most circuits open the gates so that fans can run onto the track and watch the podium celebrations.

Why did George get disqualified? ›

However, in an initial post-race check, Russell's Mercedes car was found to be 1.5 kg under the weight permitted in the regulations, following the obligatory drainage of fuel. The matter was referred to the FIA stewards, who an hour later confirmed that Russell had been disqualified from the race classification.

References

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